Nvidia (NVDA) Shines in Q3 Earnings: A Deep Dive

Nvidia (NVDA) has once again delivered impressive results in its Q3 (October) earnings report, surpassing expectations with substantial earnings per share (EPS) upside. The company also provided a strong revenue guidance for Q4 (January), particularly in its Data Center segment, which has been a focus of attention. In this article, we will dissect NVDA’s Q3 earnings, highlighting key segments and discussing the prospects and challenges the company faces.

finviz dynamic chart for  nvda

Data Center Delivers Stellar Performance

NVDA’s Data Center (DC) segment stole the spotlight in Q3, achieving remarkable results. The segment’s revenue surged by a staggering 279% year-over-year and 41% sequentially, reaching a record high of $14.51 billion. This remarkable growth was fueled by the ongoing expansion of the NVIDIA HGX platform and the adoption of InfiniBand networking technology. Notably, NVDA pointed out that some of the most exciting generative AI applications, such as Adobe Firefly, ChatGPT, Microsoft 365 co-pilot, CoAssist by ServiceNow, and Zoom AI Companion, rely on NVIDIA technology.

The Surge in Generative AI Adoption

NVDA highlighted a significant trend in the technology landscape—major consumer internet companies are racing to ramp up generative AI deployment. In Q3, both consumer internet companies and enterprises played pivotal roles in driving growth, collectively contributing to approximately half of Data Center revenue. It’s worth noting that NVDA sees the beginning of an enterprise wave of AI adoption. Leading enterprise software companies like Adobe, Databricks, Snowflake, and ServiceNow are incorporating AI co-pilots and assistants into their platforms. The other half of Data Center revenue in Q3 was propelled by strong demand from hyperscale cloud service providers (CSPs).

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China’s Impact on Q4

One area to keep a close eye on in Q4 is China. The U.S. government recently introduced new export control regulations for China, subjecting NVDA’s sales of certain products to licensing requirements. This accounts for approximately 20-25% of DC segment revenue. NVDA anticipates a significant decline in sales to these destinations in Q4 but expects this to be offset by robust growth in other regions.

Gaming Continues to Thrive

NVDA’s Gaming segment also demonstrated robust growth, with an 81% year-over-year increase and a 15% sequential increase, reaching $2.86 billion in revenue. Strong demand during the back-to-school season and an expanding library of games supporting NVDA’s technologies contributed to this growth. Despite lackluster PC demand, Gaming has doubled relative to pre-COVID levels. However, Q4 may see a sequential decline in Gaming revenue, aligning with notebook seasonality.

Professional Visualization and Automotive Segments

The Professional Visualization segment saw revenue more than double year-over-year, reaching $416 million. NVDA’s RTX platform has become the preferred choice for professionals in design, engineering, and simulation, with AI emerging as a powerful demand driver. In contrast, the Automotive segment experienced a modest 4% year-over-year revenue growth, primarily driven by continued expansion in self-driving platforms.

Bottom-line: Nvidia’s Q3 earnings report showcases another outstanding quarter for the company. NVDA believes that the era of generative AI is on the rise, and this trend has been evident in recent quarters. Despite these impressive results, the market reaction to the report has been somewhat subdued, potentially due to high expectations already priced into the stock and concerns over the anticipated decline in China sales due to U.S. export restrictions.

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Lance Jepsen
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