Marvell’s Q3 Earnings Report: Mixed Results and Guidance

Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (MRVL) recently unveiled its Q3 (October) earnings report, revealing a mix of results across its diverse segments. While the company reported its customary modest upside, the midpoint of its Q4 (January) earnings per share (EPS) and revenue guidance fell slightly short of expectations. In this article, we analyze Marvell’s Q3 performance and the outlook for its various business segments.

finviz dynamic chart for  mrvl

Data Center Segment Surprises

Marvell’s Data Center segment, the largest contributor at 39% of October quarter sales, experienced an 11% year-over-year revenue decline. However, it bounced back with a robust 21% sequential growth, reaching $555.8 million—significantly surpassing prior guidance of mid-teen sequential growth. The unexpected upside was primarily fueled by stronger-than-anticipated AI revenue. As anticipated, revenue from enterprise on-premise declined sequentially due to weakening demand. Nevertheless, Marvell is optimistic about Q4, projecting a mid-30% sequential growth in Data Center segment revenue. The company expects AI revenue in Q4 to significantly exceed earlier forecasts.

Carrier Infrastructure Segment Exceeds Expectations

Marvell’s Carrier Infrastructure (CI) segment, contributing 22% of revenues, exceeded expectations with a 17% year-over-year revenue increase and a 15% sequential growth, totaling $316.5 million. This performance was notably better than prior guidance of low single-digit sequential growth. The positive outcome was predominantly driven by the wireless subsegment, while the wired subsegment continued to decline. However, Marvell anticipates a slowdown in CI segment revenues in Q4, with a mid-40% sequential decline, as the initial wave of 5G rollout approaches completion.

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Challenges in Enterprise Networking

In contrast, the Enterprise Networking (EN) segment, responsible for 19% of revenues, faced some challenges. The segment reported a 28% year-over-year revenue decline and a 17% sequential decrease, amounting to $271 million—falling short of guidance that anticipated only a low-teen sequential decline. Marvell anticipates a mid-single digit sequential revenue decline in Q4 for the EN segment.

Consumer and Automotive/Industrial Segments

Marvell’s Consumer segment experienced a 1% sequential decline, with Q4 guidance suggesting a mid-teen sequential drop. Additionally, the Automotive/Industrial segment reported a 3% sequential decline, and Q4 is expected to see a 20% sequential decrease, primarily due to the sporadic order patterns in aerospace and defense.

Outlook and Beyond

Marvell expects soft demand to impact EN and CI segment revenues in Q1 (April), but it anticipates a gradual recovery over time, ultimately becoming a revenue tailwind. The company also foresees a significant reduction in Consumer segment revenue due to seasonality in Q1. On a positive note, Data Center revenue is growing rapidly, showcasing Marvell’s role as a vital enabler of accelerated computing and the ramp-up of custom-accelerated compute programs for AI.

Bottom-line: Marvell’s Q3 earnings report presented a mixed bag of results, with some segments outperforming expectations and others facing challenges. While Data Center remains a strong growth driver, other segments exhibit pockets of weakness, which are expected to persist into early next year. Notably, the Carrier Infrastructure segment is set to experience a substantial decline in Q4, potentially surpassing investors’ earlier expectations. Marvell’s outlook suggests that it will need to navigate these challenges while capitalizing on the growth opportunities in the Data Center segment to maintain its growth trajectory.

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