AeroVironment’s Contract Win: A Boost to Defense and Growth Prospects

The Department of Defense recently announced that AeroVironment (AVAV) has secured a $65.4 million contract modification for the Switchblade weapon system. This development is a significant step forward for AeroVironment, a company known for its expertise in unmanned aircraft systems and advanced technologies. In this article, we explore the details of this contract win, its potential impact on AeroVironment’s future, and the company’s recent achievements.

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AeroVironment’s Contract Win

AeroVironment has been awarded a $65.4 million modification to contract W31P4Q-20-C-0024 for the Switchblade weapon system, according to an announcement by the Department of Defense. The work associated with this contract will be performed in Simi Valley, California, with an estimated completion date of April 30, 2024. This contract modification reflects the Department of Defense’s ongoing commitment to advancing and deploying cutting-edge technologies.

Positive Analyst Outlook

William Blair, an investment research and asset management firm, maintains an Outperform rating on AeroVironment following the company’s receipt of a fully funded $65 million Switchblade foreign military sales order from the U.S. Army. This order is believed to be from Lithuania and is expected to provide an incremental boost to AeroVironment’s 2024 guidance. Media reports have hinted at Lithuania’s interest in procuring AeroVironment’s Switchblade in 2024, aligning with the order’s dollar amount. The timing of this order is seen as a positive surprise, especially in light of the U.S. defense budget being under a continuing resolution.

Advanced Technology for Defense

AeroVironment has been actively involved in advancing technology for defense applications. In December 2023, the company announced it had secured a $16,098,922 cost-plus-fixed-fee contract from the U.S. Navy. This contract is aimed at furthering video analytics and computer vision research to support multi-domain robotics initiatives. The initiative, known as “Automated Entity Classification in Video Using Soft Biometrics,” is part of the Small Business Innovation Research Phase III. It is managed by the Naval Air Warfare Center Aircraft Division in Lakehurst, New Jersey. AeroVironment’s focus is on developing a video analytics software ecosystem that can enhance situational awareness and capabilities for the warfighter across various mission areas.

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Analyst Price Target Increase

Jefferies, a global investment banking firm, has raised its price target on AeroVironment to $150 from $130 while maintaining a Buy rating on the shares. The firm views fiscal Q2 positively due to accelerating growth and an improved revenue outlook. Despite one minor concern, which is the absence of incremental EBITDA drop through on higher revenue, Jefferies believes the company still offers leverage in its business, and its valuation does not appear prohibitive.

Impressive Financial Performance

AeroVironment has exhibited remarkable financial performance in recent years:

  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth has been exceptional, registering a staggering 532.69% increase over the past year.
  • On average, EPS has been growing steadily by 4.91% over the past years.
  • Revenue growth has been robust, with a remarkable 47.59% increase over the past year.
  • Over the past years, revenue has been growing steadily at an average rate of 15.03%.
  • Projections for the next years indicate a strong growth trajectory, with an average annual EPS growth of 33.51% and revenue growth of 10.95%.

Bottom-line: AeroVironment’s recent contract win with the Department of Defense marks a significant milestone for the company, reflecting its continued commitment to advancing technology for defense applications. The company’s achievements in securing military contracts and its impressive financial performance underscore its growth potential and importance in the defense industry. As AeroVironment continues to innovate and secure contracts, it is likely to play a pivotal role in shaping the future of unmanned aircraft systems and advanced technologies in defense.

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Lance Jepsen
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